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For those who've bought
into an area that has stayed resolutely
down-at-heel, such tales tend grate on the
ear - although such places these days are
few and far between. For housebuyers in
search of an inflation-beating property
investment on the other hand, they're the
stuff of legend. And the big question that
keen listeners will be asking themselves
is: How on earth do I buy into a future
hotspot?
"That's
probably the single most difficult second
guess you can make," says estate agent
Graham Harris. As a professional with several
decades' experience of watching the London
property market and a former president of
the National Association of Estate Agents,
Harris is an old hand at the game of spotting
future hotspots. But even he admits that
when it comes down to it, backing a property
winner is as tricky as predicting which
nag will be first past the post at the Grand
National.
"It's often the
case that these things happen by chance
and everybody is caught by surprise,"
he says. "Either that, or it's so obvious
that you'll kick yourself for not noticing
it earlier."
So does it all happen
by chance? "No, there are market readers,
people who can see what's going to happen
and get in ahead of the game," he says.
"Sometimes they can even create an
up-and-coming area by investing in services
or amenities.
"Tube lines and
transport links can hugely change the nature
of an area and you could also add trendiness
to the equation. Some areas might not appear
too appealing at first sight, but if it's
lively with lots going on, people will want
to move closer to it."
Another factor that
can work in a place's favour is the nature
of its building stock. Warehouses might
lend themselves quite nicely to residential
conversion.
And which other factors
are likely to create an area that's on the
up? According to a Bradford & Bingley
Estate Agents' (BBEA) report, there are
at least four indicators to look for.
INDICATORS
First, a future hotspot
is likely to be within the catchment area
of good schools. Some estate agents swear
by the magical effect of the school league
tables and it's certainly true that parents
will pay a premium to live within a select
catchment area. Whether you can predict
a future league-table topping school is,
of course, another matter.
Second, fast-selling
areas are often visually appealing, according
to the BBEA - particularly out-of-town areas
that appeal to jaded city dwellers after
a rural bolthole.
Third, good road and
rail links invariably boost property values
in their immediate area, especially if they
mean that the area is now within commuting
distance of big employers or urban centres.
For the best chance of success, make sure
you know what's going on with your area's
structural plan, and scan the local press
for news of big planning decisions.
Similarly, keep an
eye out for news of big employers moving
into an area. A government department or
a big national headquarters could bring
thousands of new employees with it - and
they'll be looking to buy as close to work
as possible. To get ahead of the game, find
out who your local council is trying to
tempt to the area, and where they might
go.
But bear in mind that
as with any type of speculation - whether
on the stock exchange or down at the dog
track - things don't always turn out the
way you expect them to.
"It's a very,
very difficult business to guess,"
says Graham Harris. "You've got to
be a certain type to do it. Pioneers who
buy into an area before it's popular can
make lots of money, but it can also be very
costly. What goes up can also come down."
If you're really determined
to introduce a little speculation into your
home-buying activities, Harris has what
could be the best piece of advice you'll
get.
"My own personal
advice would be to pick somewhere you'd
be happy to live," he says. "If
it's good for you, it's likely to be good
for people like you - and that could mean
more people moving into the area and boosting
prices."
Even if those prices
don't rise, at least you'll be somewhere
you want to be - which may well be the most
important thing in the final analysis.
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